Crash simulator

Rounds run back to back: the multiplier climbs, the curve bends upward, and at a point fixed before the round began, it crashes. Set an auto-cashout target and watch how often it gets there. Crash is the cleanest demonstration of house edge in any casino game — every cashout target returns the same expected value.

Return to player, observed

—
Rounds0
Cashed out / busted0 / 0
Staked—
Returned—
Net—
Longest bust streak0
Highest crash seen—
Theoretical RTP—

Change the target from 1.5× to 50× and the theoretical RTP does not move. Only the shape of the ride does.

Latest results

Live
#Crashed atYour cashoutNet
Waiting for the first round…

The distribution, written out

In a provably fair crash game the probability of the multiplier reaching at least m is (1 − edge) / m. At a 1% edge, 2× comes up 49.5% of the time, 10× comes up 9.9% of the time, and 100× comes up about once in a thousand rounds.

Multiply that probability by the payout and you get the same answer every time: m × (1 − edge)/m = 0.99. Cashing out at 1.2× and cashing out at 50× have identical expected value. What changes is variance — the 1.2× player wins constantly and bleeds slowly, the 50× player busts ninety-eight times in a hundred and occasionally gets it all back.

This is why no crash strategy works. There is no cashout point with better expected value than any other, because the payout curve was built from the probability curve. Leave the simulator running at any target and watch the observed RTP settle at the same place.

How to use the crash simulator

  1. Rounds run continuously. The curve climbs until the crash point, then the next round starts.
  2. Set an auto-cashout target; rounds that pass it turn green in the results.
  3. Change the target and watch the theoretical RTP stay exactly where it is.
Crash Simulator on cryptocodes.ai — screenshot
Crash Simulator, running in the browser.

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